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ROI and the Emperor's New Clothes

Overdoing ROI in the Travel Industry

By Jeffrey Hansler, CSP  

Lots of RFP’s are being issued and agreements signed are based on the best ROI (Return on Investment). The concept is if you have a good ROI, you must be making the best business decision. With more and more purchasing agents and CFO’s becoming involved in Travel Policy  development and decisions, it’s a situation that is rearing its ugly head more and more.  It’s a daily modern day remake of the fable of ‘The Emperor’s New Clothes’: no one will speak the visible truth for fear of appearing unfit for business.  

From Hans Christian Anderson’s “The Emperor’s New Clothes”:  

Now one fine day two swindlers, calling themselves weavers, arrived. They declared that they could make the most magnificent cloth that one could imagine; cloth of most beautiful colours and elaborate patterns. Not only was the material so beautiful, but the clothes made from it had the special power of being invisible to everyone who was stupid or not fit for his post. 

"What a splendid idea," thought the Emperor. "What useful clothes to have. If I had such a suit of clothes I could know at once which of my people is stupid or unfit for his post." 

Here’s the problem with ROI.  Return on investment is a quantitative measurement and it is being applied as a measure in qualitative situations. ROI can be calculated quantitatively in several forms: 

ROI = Net Present Value of Savings/ Initial Investment x 100   or 

ROI (%) =  Income/Expense x 100    or 

ROI (%) = Net Program Benefits / Net Program Costs x 100  or 

Simple ROI = (Gains - Investment Costs) / Investment Costs 

There are several problems in applying these quantitative measurements to a travel program. First and foremost, what gains are being measured? A travel program does not generate gains in terms of income for the company (Sales Activity results in these gains of which travel is part of the costs). Refunds, credits, and revenue sharing are not gains: They reduce the costs associated with travel programs. Secondly, even if there were Gains that could be attributed to a travel program, the travel department has no authority for those Gains. It is bad business to apply responsibility for a consequence without providing the authority over that consequence. I would hope the travel manager is not responsible for generating the revenue for a company. 

As for evaluating a decision based on the investment cost in calculating Return on Investment (ROI) for a travel program, the best ROI for a travel program would be achieved when no one travels anywhere!  

In discussions with Peter Jackson, first CFO of SAIC and contributor to the forthcoming book “The Humpty Dumpty Conundrum”.  Mr. Jackson said, “Gee, it was my impression that the activities and contributions of employees is what actually determines success in a marketplace.  Doesn't make sense that the people who travel for a company are doing important things and are representing their company and the management and that their ease of travel and little touches that are provided make for a more relaxed and cared for employee...and therefore more productive and better results?" 

In an extreme sense, if a company is adhering to 100% compliance of a travel policy, and the CFO is determining the travel policy, then the CFO is telling the CEO how to do business, which doesn’t make a whole lot of sense in terms of company hierarchy. 

A better measure of decision making in business regarding a company’s travel program and the associated costs would be Resources + Activity = Results. 

Applying this type of equation to decision making allows for qualitative elements to be considered like a good night’s sleep, arriving on time, feeling cared for… etc. 

Sure, evaluating a decision qualitatively openly acknowledges that there is no formula for success, but that is the truth about business. ROI is about risk reduction and business growth and innovation is about risk taking. 

Larry Glidewell, author of the forthcoming book “The Humpty Dumpty Conundrum” puts it this way. “The premise of ROI is silly because it assumes a consistency (equilibrium) that doesn't exist in either business or nature, and wouldn't be healthy even if it could exist.  It's a myth.  Study after study has revealed that no company can actually sustain returns (higher than the Dow average) over a long period of time.  But the elite business schools still teach that's the goal. It's destructive.  It's treating businesses as banks (primarily because of public investment) and they're not.  They're ships bobbing on the stormy sea of the market.” 

ROI has a place in business decision-making, just not when applied to the Travel department or any other individual department.  

When asked what the ROI is, a reply might be, "I thought that the idea was to increase the ROI across the company, not for every function or department or activity.  I believe this will contribute to overall ROI!" 

Or maybe, it’s “Emperor, baby… love the hat, love the shoes, love the whole thing.” 

© 2005 Jeffrey Hansler  All rights reserved

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Jeffrey Hansler is a professional speaker, author, and consultant. He is a frequent speaker at association events, creating change with communication and is the author of Sell Little Red Hen! Sell! He can be reached at jhansler@oxfordco.com.

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© 2005 Jeffrey Hansler  All rights reserved


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